Eye Shadow Stick Market to Reach USD 34.7 Billion by 2033, Analyzed for US Tariff Impact

Tajammul Pangarkar
Tajammul Pangarkar

Updated · Apr 29, 2025

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Introduction

The Global Eye Shadow Stick Market is projected to reach approximately USD 34.7 billion by 2033, rising from an estimated USD 20.3 billion in 2023. This growth is expected to occur at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% during the forecast period spanning from 2024 to 2033.

An eye shadow stick is a cosmetic product designed in a convenient, crayon-like format that allows for precise and effortless application of eye color. Unlike traditional powdered eye shadows, these sticks offer a creamy texture that glides smoothly over the eyelids and delivers long-lasting pigmentation, making them a preferred choice for consumers seeking ease, portability, and minimal fallout. The global Eye Shadow Stick Market refers to the collective industry involved in the production, distribution, and sale of these products across various geographies and consumer segments.

This market has experienced significant traction due to evolving beauty standards, increasing disposable income, and a growing consumer preference for multifunctional and time-saving beauty products. The rising demand for travel-friendly and easy-to-apply cosmetics, particularly among working women and millennials, is acting as a key growth factor.

Additionally, the growing influence of social media and beauty influencers has considerably accelerated consumer awareness and product adoption. The expansion of e-commerce platforms and the rising penetration of premium and natural cosmetic brands have further boosted the market’s visibility and accessibility. From a demand perspective, the shift toward cruelty-free, vegan, and dermatologically tested formulations is encouraging brands to innovate and diversify their offerings to meet evolving consumer expectations.

Moreover, product innovation in terms of waterproof, long-wear, and multi-use sticks is enhancing market competitiveness. An emerging opportunity lies in untapped markets across Asia-Pacific and Latin America, where increasing urbanization and interest in Western beauty trends are expected to generate robust demand. Overall, the Eye Shadow Stick Market is poised for steady growth, driven by lifestyle changes, digital engagement, and product innovation.

Eye Shadow Stick Market Size

Key Takeaways

  • The global Eye Shadow Stick Market is anticipated to reach USD 34.7 billion by 2033, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% during the forecast period from 2024 to 2033.
  • Cream-based eye shadow sticks held the largest share in 2023, attributed to their ease of application, blendability, and multipurpose usage across different skin types.
  • Individual users constituted the largest end-user group in 2023, supported by the growing trend of self-application and rising preference for compact, on-the-go beauty products.
  • Online platforms emerged as the leading sales channel in 2023, driven by consumer demand for convenience, broader product variety, and the increasing influence of digital marketing and e-commerce.
  • North America dominated the global market in 2023 with a 24.2% share, amounting to USD 4.9 billion, primarily due to a mature cosmetics industry and continuous product innovation by regional brands.

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​Impact of US Tariffs on the Eye Shadow Stick Market

The U.S. eye shadow stick market is currently experiencing significant disruptions due to newly imposed tariffs on imported cosmetics and related components. These tariffs are influencing both production costs and retail pricing, with notable implications for brands and consumers alike.​

Tariff Overview and Classification

Eye shadow sticks are categorized under the Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS) code 3304.20.0000, which pertains to eye make-up preparations. Historically, products under this classification have been subject to a duty rate of 4.9% ad valorem. However, recent policy changes have introduced additional tariffs, particularly targeting imports from key manufacturing countries.​

Impact on Importing Countries

  • China: Imports from China now face a steep tariff of up to 145%, significantly affecting both product and packaging costs. ​
  • South Korea and European Union: These regions are currently subject to a 10% tariff, with potential increases if trade agreements are not solidified. ​
  • Canada and Mexico: A 25% tariff has been imposed on products from these countries, impacting the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) framework. ​

Consequences for the Eye Shadow Stick Market

  • Increased Production Costs: The elevated tariffs on imported ingredients and packaging materials have led to higher production costs for eye shadow sticks. Brands relying on international supply chains are particularly affected.​
  • Retail Price Adjustments: To offset increased costs, several beauty brands have announced price hikes. For instance, Interparfums plans to raise prices in the U.S. by 6% to 7% starting August 1, 2025.
  • Supply Chain Reconfiguration: Companies are exploring alternative sourcing options, including nearshoring and reshoring, to mitigate tariff impacts. However, these strategies involve challenges such as higher domestic labor costs and potential delays in production timelines.
  • Impact on Small and Indie Brands: Smaller beauty companies, lacking the resources to absorb increased costs or reconfigure supply chains swiftly, may face significant financial strain. This could lead to reduced product offerings or market exit for some players. ​

Strategic Considerations

In response to the evolving tariff landscape, brands are advised to:

  • Diversify Supply Chains: Identify and establish relationships with suppliers in countries not subject to high tariffs.​
  • Evaluate Domestic Production: Assess the feasibility of increasing domestic manufacturing to reduce reliance on imports.​
  • Monitor Regulatory Changes: Stay informed about trade policy developments to anticipate and adapt to further changes in tariff structures.​

Emerging Trends

  • Preference for Clean and Natural Ingredients: Consumers are increasingly seeking eye shadow sticks formulated without harmful chemicals, favoring products that are cruelty-free and vegan. This shift aligns with the broader movement towards clean beauty.
  • Expansion of Male Grooming Products: There is a growing acceptance of makeup among men, leading to increased demand for eye shadow sticks designed for male consumers. This trend reflects changing societal norms and a broader definition of personal grooming.
  • Influence of Social Media and Beauty Influencers: Platforms like Instagram and TikTok have amplified the popularity of eye shadow sticks, with beauty influencers showcasing their versatility and ease of use, thereby driving consumer interest.
  • Innovations in Formulations: Advancements in product formulations have led to eye shadow sticks that offer longer wear, smoother application, and enhanced color payoff, meeting the demands of modern consumers.
  • Rise of E-commerce Channels: The convenience of online shopping has made e-commerce a dominant sales channel for eye shadow sticks, allowing brands to reach a wider audience and offer personalized shopping experiences.

Top Use Cases

  • Quick and Convenient Application: Eye shadow sticks offer a mess-free and time-saving solution for individuals seeking efficient makeup application, making them ideal for daily use.
  • Travel-Friendly Makeup Option: Their compact and portable design makes eye shadow sticks a preferred choice for travelers who require easy-to-carry makeup products.
  • Versatile Makeup Looks: These products can be used to create a range of looks, from subtle daytime appearances to more dramatic evening styles, catering to diverse consumer preferences.
  • Suitable for Makeup Beginners: The user-friendly nature of eye shadow sticks makes them accessible to individuals new to makeup, providing an easy entry point into eye cosmetics.
  • Multi-Functional Use: Beyond eyeshadow, some sticks can double as highlighters or contour tools, offering multifunctionality in a single product.

Major Challenges

  • Limited Shade Range: Some brands offer a narrow selection of shades, which may not cater to the diverse skin tones and preferences of the global consumer base.
  • Environmental Concerns: The use of non-recyclable packaging materials in some eye shadow sticks raises sustainability issues, prompting environmentally conscious consumers to seek alternative products.
  • Raw Material Sourcing Difficulties: Obtaining high-quality pigments and binders for long-wear formulations can be challenging, potentially affecting product consistency and availability.
  • Market Saturation: The influx of numerous brands into the eye shadow stick market has intensified competition, making it difficult for new entrants to establish a foothold.
  • Price Sensitivity: Consumers in certain markets may be sensitive to price points, limiting the adoption of premium eye shadow sticks and affecting overall market growth.

Top Opportunities

  • Development of Eco-Friendly Packaging: Investing in sustainable packaging solutions can attract environmentally conscious consumers and differentiate products in a crowded market.
  • Customization and Personalization: Offering customizable shades or formulations can meet individual consumer needs, enhancing customer satisfaction and brand loyalty.
  • Expansion into Emerging Markets: Tapping into emerging economies with growing beauty industries presents opportunities for market expansion and increased sales.
  • Collaborations with Influencers: Partnering with beauty influencers can boost brand visibility and credibility, leveraging their reach to promote eye shadow sticks to wider audiences.
  • Integration of Technology in Product Development: Utilizing technology to develop innovative features, such as augmented reality for virtual try-ons, can enhance the consumer shopping experience and drive engagement.

Key Player Analysis

The Global Eye Shadow Stick Market in 2024 is marked by strong participation from both luxury and mass-market players, driving innovation, brand diversification, and regional expansion. Premium brands such as Charlotte Tilbury, Dior Beauty, Chanel, and TOM FORD S.A. continue to shape consumer perceptions by offering high-performance formulations infused with skincare benefits, thereby appealing to affluent consumers seeking multi-functionality. Meanwhile, established conglomerates such as L’Oréal S.A., The Estée Lauder Companies Inc., and Shiseido Company leverage their global presence, extensive R&D capabilities, and multi-brand strategies to dominate across different price segments and regions.

Mass-market giants like MAYBELLINE New York, NYX Professional Makeup, and Rimmel London focus on affordability and trend-driven shades, making them accessible to younger demographics through aggressive digital campaigns. Emerging players like Kay Beauty by Katrina and Mamaearth capitalize on local consumer preferences and natural ingredient positioning to gain traction in high-growth markets such as India. Retailers such as Sephora and Julep Beauty also play a vital role in product visibility and consumer engagement.

Top Key Players in the Market

  • Charlotte Tilbury
  • Bobbi Brown
  • Givenchy
  • Pixi Beauty
  • L’Oréal S.A.
  • The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
  • Chanel
  • Dior Beauty
  • Kay Beauty by Katrina
  • M.A.C Cosmetics
  • Lancôme
  • Sephora
  • Rimmel London
  • Mamaearth
  • TOM FORD S.A.
  • NYX Professional Makeup
  • Shiseido Company
  • MAYBELLINE New York
  • Yves Saint Laurent
  • Laura Mercier
  • Julep Beauty

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Regional Analysis

North America Leads Eye Shadow Stick Market with 24.2% Share in 2024

North America has emerged as the leading region in the global eye shadow stick market, commanding a 24.2% market share in 2024, equivalent to a valuation of USD 4.9 billion. This dominance is primarily attributed to the United States, which accounts for approximately 78.1% of the North American market, driven by factors such as increasing disposable income among younger demographics, the influence of beauty trends like K-beauty and J-beauty, and the growing popularity of eye makeup for various cultural events and celebrations.

The region’s market growth is further propelled by continuous innovations in eye shadow stick formulations, captivating makeup trends among consumers, and the increasing influence of social media beauty influencers. The presence of major industry players and the availability of a wide range of products through both online and offline channels have also contributed to the region’s substantial market share. ​

Impact of U.S. Tariffs on Eye Shadow Stick Market

The U.S. government’s imposition of new tariffs on Chinese imports, ranging from 60% to 100%, has significantly impacted the beauty industry, including the eye shadow stick segment. These tariffs have led to increased production costs for companies relying on Chinese manufacturing, prompting some brands to raise prices or seek alternative supply chains. For instance, E.l.f. Cosmetics, which manufactures approximately 80% of its products in China, has had to implement price increases and explore cost-saving measures to offset the impact of tariffs.

The tariffs have also contributed to broader economic uncertainty, affecting consumer confidence and spending patterns. Companies are now reassessing their sourcing strategies and considering diversification to mitigate the risks associated with trade tensions. While some businesses may benefit from a shift towards domestically produced goods, the overall effect of tariffs has introduced challenges for the eye shadow stick market, potentially influencing pricing, supply chain dynamics, and market competitiveness.

Eye Shadow Stick Market Regional Analysis

Recent Developments

  • In 2025, Ilia launched its long-awaited Eye Stylus Shadow Sticks after a year of anticipation. These eyeshadow sticks come in a sleek, twist-up format and aim to simplify eye makeup with smooth, blendable formulas. After trying them, the texture felt creamy and easy to apply, gliding on without tugging. The finish stayed vibrant through the day, even without a primer. The pigment builds well for both subtle and bold looks, giving users flexibility based on their routine.
  • In 2023, Artistry introduced the Go Vibrant Eye Collection and Future Glow Serum Foundation as part of its clean beauty mission. These products were made with plant-based ingredients and developed to offer skincare benefits within makeup. The eye products brought vibrant color with a nourishing touch, while the foundation delivered a natural glow and lightweight feel. All items followed vegan standards and avoided harmful additives, aligning with growing demand for ethical and skin-friendly cosmetics.
  • In 2023, CTZN launched Eye Elements, its first eye product co-created with Sir John. The product features dual-ended sticks with matte and shimmer options inspired by nature’s elements. Available in 7 shades, each stick was designed to suit diverse skin tones. The creamy texture made blending effortless, and both finishes gave depth and dimension in one swipe. The launch highlighted a commitment to inclusivity and creativity, offering a modern tool for expressive, personal beauty.

Conclusion

The global eye shadow stick market is experiencing steady growth, driven by consumer preferences for convenient, multi-functional, and skin-friendly cosmetic products. The increasing demand for clean beauty formulations and sustainable packaging has prompted manufacturers to innovate, aligning with evolving consumer values. The rise of e-commerce and the influence of social media platforms have further amplified product visibility and accessibility, contributing to market expansion. Despite challenges such as regulatory compliance and market saturation, opportunities abound in emerging markets and through technological advancements like augmented reality for virtual try-ons. Overall, the market is poised for continued growth, reflecting the dynamic nature of consumer preferences and the industry’s adaptability to meet these changing demands.

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Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar is a tech blogger that frequently contributes to numerous industry-specific magazines and forums. Tajammul longstanding experience in the fields of mobile technology and industry research is often reflected in his insightful body of work. His interest lies in understanding tech trends, dissecting mobile applications, and in raising a general awareness of technical know-how. When he’s not ruminating about various happenings in the tech world, he can be usually found indulging in his next favorite interest - table tennis.

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