Cigar and Cigarillos Market to Reach USD 35.9 Billion by 2033, Analyzing US Tariffs on Growth

Tajammul Pangarkar
Tajammul Pangarkar

Updated · May 2, 2025

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Introduction

The Global Cigar And Cigarillos Market is projected to reach approximately USD 35.9 billion by 2033, rising from an estimated USD 27.2 billion in 2023. This growth reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.8% over the forecast period spanning 2024 to 2033.

Cigars and cigarillos are tobacco-based products that differ primarily in size and construction; cigars are larger, often made with whole-leaf tobacco, while cigarillos are smaller, machine-made, and typically consumed more quickly. The cigar and cigarillos market refers to the global industry engaged in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of these tobacco products across various regions. It encompasses both premium hand-rolled cigars and mass-produced cigarillos, catering to a wide consumer base ranging from occasional social smokers to connoisseurs.

The market has been experiencing steady growth driven by a confluence of factors, including rising consumer inclination toward premium tobacco experiences, increased product availability through retail and online channels, and growing cultural acceptance of cigars as lifestyle symbols. Particularly in emerging markets, rising disposable incomes and urbanization are contributing to expanding consumer bases.

Additionally, flavored cigarillos are witnessing heightened demand, especially among younger adult demographics, due to their affordability and variety of flavor options. However, stringent regulatory frameworks, such as bans on flavored tobacco in certain jurisdictions and increasing taxation, pose challenges to sustained market growth. Despite this, significant opportunities lie in product innovation and branding, especially in the premium segment, where demand for hand-rolled cigars and sustainable packaging is increasing.

Moreover, the development of new marketing strategies aligned with luxury positioning, coupled with e-commerce expansion, is expected to further fuel market penetration. As the global adult population diversifies its preferences, the cigar and cigarillos market is anticipated to continue its evolution, supported by demand for differentiated products and exclusive smoking experiences.

Cigar And Cigarillos Market By Size

Key Takeaways

  • The global cigar and cigarillos market was valued at USD 27.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 35.9 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 2.8% over the forecast period.
  • Mass cigars accounted for the largest market share in 2023, capturing 79.8%, primarily due to their affordable pricing and widespread availability across various retail channels.
  • Hypermarkets and supermarkets emerged as the leading distribution channel with a 42.7% share in 2023, supported by convenient access and a diverse product assortment available to consumers.
  • The tobacco/no flavor category dominated the flavor segment with a 70.3% share in 2023, indicating consumer preference for traditional, unflavored smoking products.
  • The premium cigar segment witnessed increased traction in 2023, attributed to the rising demand for luxury and experiential smoking among high-income consumers and enthusiasts.
  • North America held the largest regional share in 2023, commanding 57.4% of the global market, valued at USD 15.61 billion, driven by high per capita consumption and an established tobacco-smoking culture.

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Impact of US Tariffs on Cigar and Cigarillos Market

The recent U.S. tariff policy, enacted in April 2025, has significantly impacted the cigar and cigarillo industry, affecting both pricing structures and market dynamics.

Tariff Overview

On April 2, 2025, the U.S. administration introduced a universal 10% tariff on all imported goods, effective from April 5. Subsequently, on April 9, additional reciprocal tariffs were imposed on specific countries based on their trade practices, leading to higher import costs for goods from these nations .

For the cigar industry, the tariff rates varied by country:

  • Dominican Republic & Honduras: 10%
  • Nicaragua: 18%
  • Costa Rica: 10%
  • Mexico: 0% for USMCA-compliant cigars; 12% for non-compliant goods .

Impact on Pricing

The imposition of these tariffs has led to increased costs for cigar manufacturers, which are often passed on to consumers. Industry estimates suggest that the new tariffs could raise the price of handmade cigars by approximately $0.50 to $2.10 per unit in states without additional tobacco taxes, and even more in states with such taxes.

For example, CLE Cigar Co. announced a price increase of $0.20 per cigar for products up to 52 ring gauge and $0.30 for those 54 ring gauge and larger, effective May 5, 2025 .

Emerging Trends

  • Flavored Product Popularity: Flavored cigarillos, particularly those infused with vanilla, berry, coffee, and menthol, are gaining traction among younger demographics. These products offer a milder taste profile compared to traditional cigars, attracting new users seeking less intense smoking experiences.
  • Premiumization of Offerings: Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards premium, handcrafted cigars that emphasize quality and unique blends. This shift reflects a broader trend towards luxury and refined experiences in tobacco consumption.
  • Cultural Integration and Social Acceptance: Cigar smoking is becoming more integrated into social settings, such as lounges and celebratory events. This cultural acceptance is particularly evident among younger adults who view cigar smoking as a symbol of status and sophistication.
  • Expansion of Online Retail Channels: The growth of e-commerce platforms has facilitated broader access to cigars and cigarillos, allowing consumers to explore a wider range of products and brands. Online retailing offers convenience and often better pricing, contributing to market expansion.
  • Health-Conscious Alternatives: In response to health concerns, there is a trend towards offering cigars with reduced tar and nicotine content. Some manufacturers are also exploring non-tobacco ingredients and electronic cigars as alternatives to traditional smoking products.

Top Use Cases

  • Social and Celebratory Events: Cigars and cigarillos are commonly used in social gatherings and celebrations, serving as symbols of status and luxury. Their presence in such events underscores their role in social rituals.
  • Gifting and Personalization: Premium cigars are often chosen as gifts for special occasions. Customization options, such as personalized packaging and blends, enhance their appeal in the gifting market.
  • Leisure and Relaxation: Many consumers use cigars as a means of relaxation, associating the smoking experience with leisure time and personal enjoyment.
  • Cultural and Traditional Practices: In certain cultures, cigar smoking is integrated into traditional rituals and ceremonies, maintaining its relevance in cultural practices.
  • Status Symbol in Affluent Circles: Within affluent communities, cigars serve as a status symbol, often associated with wealth and exclusivity.

Major Challenges

  • Stringent Government Regulations: Increasing tobacco regulations, including bans on flavored tobacco, high excise duties, and restrictions on advertisements, pose challenges for market players.
  • Health Concerns and Anti-Smoking Campaigns: Rising awareness about the health risks associated with tobacco consumption has led to the implementation of strict public health campaigns and regulations, which may hinder market growth.
  • Competition from Alternative Nicotine Products: The emergence of alternative nicotine products, such as electronic cigarettes and heated tobacco products, is diverting consumers away from traditional cigars and cigarillos.
  • Economic Factors Affecting Disposable Income: Economic downturns and fluctuations in disposable income can impact consumer spending on luxury items like premium cigars, affecting market demand.
  • Supply Chain and Production Costs: Challenges in sourcing quality tobacco and fluctuations in production costs can affect the pricing and availability of cigars and cigarillos, impacting market stability.

Top Opportunities

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Markets in Asia-Pacific and Latin America are witnessing increased adoption of cigars due to rising disposable incomes and exposure to Western lifestyles. Local brands are diversifying their offerings to cater to the evolving preferences of these regions.
  • Sustainability and Ethical Sourcing: Increasing focus on sustainability in tobacco farming and ethical sourcing practices is becoming a key differentiator. Brands are adopting eco-friendly packaging and production processes to appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.
  • Customization and Personalization: Manufacturers are providing options for consumers to create their custom blends, select unique packaging, and even personalize cigar bands. This trend aligns with the desire for a unique and exclusive experience, catering to individual preferences and the gift-giving market.
  • Health-Conscious Product Development: Developing cigars with reduced tar and nicotine content, as well as options that use alternative, non-tobacco ingredients, can attract health-conscious consumers while retaining the ritualistic aspects of cigar and cigarillo consumption.
  • Digital Marketing and Direct Consumer Engagement: The growth of e-commerce platforms has facilitated the accessibility of premium cigars and cigarillos, allowing brands to tap into a broader customer base. Online platforms also enable direct consumer engagement and personalized marketing strategies.

Key Player Analysis

In 2024, the global cigar and cigarillos market remains highly competitive, with several key players dominating the landscape. Habanos S.A., a major player from Cuba, continues to lead with its premium offerings, capitalizing on the brand’s legacy and reputation for high-quality cigars. Swisher International and its Swisher Sweets brand also play a significant role, offering a broad range of affordable cigars and cigarillos, which cater to the mass-market segment. British American Tobacco, through its subsidiary Imperial Brands, leverages its global distribution channels to maintain a solid presence.

Agio Cigars and Villiger Söhne AG maintain a robust foothold with a strong portfolio of premium and value-for-money cigars. The Scandinavian Tobacco Group (STG) further strengthens its position with acquisitions and diversified offerings, while J.C. Newman and Davidoff cater to the premium market, focusing on innovation and quality. Companies like Altadis USA and Tabacalera USA bring a wealth of resources and experience, ensuring continued competitiveness in a rapidly evolving market.

Key Players in the Market

  • Habanos S.A.
  • Swisher International
  • British American Tobacco
  • Agio Cigars
  • Scandinavian Tobacco Group
  • J.C. Newman Cigar Co.
  • Villiger Söhne AG
  • Davidoff
  • Altria Group, Inc.
  • Imperial Brands
  • Tabacalera USA
  • Altadis USA
  • Swedish Match
  • Swisher Sweets
  • STG (Scandinavian Tobacco Group)

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Regional Analysis

North America: Leading the Global Cigar and Cigarillos Market with 57.4% Share

North America stands as the dominant region in the global cigar and cigarillos market, commanding a substantial 57.4% share in 2024, valued at approximately USD 15.61 billion . This market leadership is primarily attributed to the United States, which remains the largest consumer globally, accounting for over 55% of the total market share .

The U.S. market is characterized by a robust demand for both mass-produced and premium cigars. Mass cigars, known for their affordability and variety of flavors such as mint, menthol, and chocolate, appeal to a broad consumer base, including younger demographics. In contrast, premium cigars, often handmade and associated with luxury, are favored by affluent consumers and are prominently featured in high-end establishments like luxury hotels and cigar lounges .

The market’s growth is further supported by a well-established distribution network encompassing specialty stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, and a growing online retail presence. This infrastructure ensures widespread accessibility and convenience for consumers across the region .

However, recent developments in U.S. trade policy may impact the market dynamics. In April 2025, the U.S. administration announced a 10% across-the-board tariff on all imports, including cigars from key suppliers such as the Dominican Republic, which accounts for approximately 64% of U.S. cigar imports . This tariff could lead to increased prices for consumers and may affect the cost structures of importers and retailers in the short term.

Despite these challenges, North America’s cigar and cigarillos market is projected to maintain its leading position, driven by consumer preferences for quality products, a strong cultural affinity for cigar smoking, and a favorable regulatory environment that supports the luxury tobacco segment. The market’s resilience and adaptability suggest continued growth and innovation in the coming years.

Cigar And Cigarillos Market By Regional Analysis

Recent Developments

  • In 2024, Scandinavian Tobacco Group (STG) successfully finalized the purchase of Mac Baren Tobacco Company. The transaction, valued at DKK535 million (approximately US$76.87 million), was structured on a debt- and cash-free basis. STG financed the acquisition using available cash and debt, with the transaction expected to close soon.
  • In 2024, JT Group announced the completion of its acquisition of Vector Group Ltd. (VGR), following a tender offer that was first revealed on August 21, 2024. This acquisition was finalized on October 7, 2024, marking a significant expansion for the JT Group.
  • On August 13, 2024, High Kings of Tara, LLC (HKOT), based in California, announced its plan to co-market ultra-premium tobacco cigars alongside cannabis-infused cannagars. The move targets two lucrative markets—imported tobacco cigars and the U.S.-legal CBD hemp flower sector catering to connoisseurs seeking an exceptional smoking experience.

Conclusion

The global cigar and cigarillos market is experiencing a period of steady growth, driven by evolving consumer preferences and shifting social dynamics. A notable trend is the increasing demand for flavored products, particularly among younger demographics, who are attracted to the variety of taste profiles and the milder smoking experience they offer. This shift is complemented by a growing inclination towards premium, hand-rolled cigars, as consumers seek refined and luxurious smoking experiences. The expansion of online retail channels has further facilitated access to a diverse range of products, enhancing consumer choice and convenience. Additionally, the emergence of health-conscious alternatives, such as cigars with reduced tar and nicotine content, reflects the industry’s responsiveness to public health concerns. However, the market faces challenges, including stringent regulations, rising taxation, and competition from alternative nicotine products. Despite these obstacles, opportunities abound in emerging markets, where increasing disposable incomes and exposure to Western lifestyles are fueling demand. The industry’s ability to innovate in product offerings and adapt to regulatory landscapes will be pivotal in sustaining its growth trajectory.

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Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar

Tajammul Pangarkar is a tech blogger that frequently contributes to numerous industry-specific magazines and forums. Tajammul longstanding experience in the fields of mobile technology and industry research is often reflected in his insightful body of work. His interest lies in understanding tech trends, dissecting mobile applications, and in raising a general awareness of technical know-how. When he’s not ruminating about various happenings in the tech world, he can be usually found indulging in his next favorite interest - table tennis.

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