Microsoft misses its estimates but stocks up 5% based on optimistic guidance

Anurag Sharma
Anurag Sharma

Updated · Jul 27, 2022

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Microsoft shares rose by 5% in extended trading Tuesday after the software company issued an optimistic income forecast for the year ahead despite not reaching Wall Street consensus on quarterly results. Earnings per share were below consensus for the first time since 2016 when net income rose 2.0% to $16.73 million. According to a statement, Microsoft saw the lowest revenue growth rate since 2020 at 12% year-over-year in the quarter that ended June 30.

Microsoft forecasted $49.26 billion to $52.50 billion for fiscal year 1. At $49.74 billion, the middle range represents 10% revenue growth. This is due to slower cloud infrastructure growth and worsening PC sales. Refinitiv polled analysts and expected more at $51.49 trillion. The implied gross margin of the company, at 69.84%, was higher than the 69.30% consensus among StreetAccount analysts.

The company also reiterated its previous forecasts for the 2023 fiscal year, even though the economic climate was difficult to predict. Amy Hood, Microsoft’s chief financial officer, said they endure double-digit returns and operating revenue growth in constant currency and U.S. Dollars. She spoke on a discussion over a phone call with analysts. She stated that Microsoft would upturn the useful lifespan of servers and networking equipment from 4 to 6 years. The company made similar moves in 2020.

The worst foreign-exchange rates were the most significant challenge in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014. Microsoft stated that this reduced earnings and revenue by 4 cents per share and decreased revenue by $595million. Rate fluctuations caused Microsoft to reduce its revenue and income guidance and decrease its quarterly income. The quarter’s revenue and income came below the ranges Microsoft had presented in June. Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud segment, including the Azure public cloud, SQL Server, Windows Server, and enterprise services, generated $20.91 billion. This was 20% more than the consensus estimate of $21.10 trillion by StreetAccount analysts.

According to the company, revenue from Azure and other cloud services increased by 40% compared to 46% during the previous quarter. CNBC analysts had forecast 43.2%, while StreetAccount’s consent guesstimate was 43.39%. Microsoft does not reveal Azure returns in dollars. Hood stated that the Azure result was 1% lower than expected due to slower consumption growth from services like computing and storage resources.
Microsoft’s Efficiency and Occupational Segment, which includes Office efficiency software, Dynamics, and LinkedIn, displayed $16.60 billion in profits. This was almost 13% more than StreetAccount’s consensus of $16.66 trillion.

Up from 8% last year, 12% of commercial Office 365 subscriptions are held by the premium E5 tier. She said there had been some moderation in the volume of new deals outside E5, particularly for small and medium businesses. For the quarter, revenue from the More Personal Computing segment, which includes the Windows operating system and Xbox video-game consoles, was $14.36 billion. The StreetAccount consensus of $14.65 billion was just below the revenue increase of 2%.

Microsoft reported that search and news advertising, which excluded traffic-acquisition costs and were up 18% due to higher search volume and more revenue per search, increased 18%. However, advertising spending fell by $100 million. This was even though revenue from search and news advertising and LinkedIn categories saw a reduction of $100 million.

The quarter saw a 2% drop in sales of Windows licenses to device manufacturers. Gartner, a technology industry researcher, stated earlier this month that logistics disruptions during the quarter contributed to a 12.6% drop in quarterly PC shipment shipments. This is a critical input for this metric. According to the company, the company lost $300 million in Windows revenue due to factory shutdowns in China in April/May and a worsening computer market in June.

According to a filing, Peter Choi, senior research analyst at Vontobel Asset Management, who held $1.11billion in Microsoft stock at March’s end, explained that investors were well aware of the risks associated with exchange rates and computer sales. Choi stated that the core franchises that are the most exciting about owning Microsoft were the most resilient and continue to shine even through some deceleration. However, those areas were more reassuring.” Microsoft incurred $126 million in operating costs due to its decision not to sell products or services to Russia after the invasion of Ukraine.
Nadella also announced pay increases for employees and services to assist customers in dealing with security incidents during the quarter. Microsoft stock fell 25% this year, not counting the after-hours move. This compares to a decline of 18% in the S&P 500 U.S stocks index.

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Anurag Sharma

Anurag Sharma

He has been helping in business of varied scales, with key strategic decisions. He is a specialist in healthcare, medical devices, and life-science, and has accurately predicted the trends in the market. Anurag is a fervent traveller, and is passionate in exploring untouched places and locations. In his free time, he loves to introspect and plan ahead.